Start a Post » Learn more about posting on Energy Central » The primary investment risk facing solar power is that plants will eventually be exposed to their value declines and integration costs. These risks are quantified in this article.
[With solar PV, in contrast,] replacing one or two modules only leads to a row of modules not producing electricity”. In sum, risk premiums – measured with different indicators – and investment risk decreased substantially for solar PV and onshore wind in Germany, Italy and the UK between 2009 and 2017.
Onshore wind and solar PV investment risk is studied in Germany, Italy and the UK. Investment risk and risk premiums have declined between 2009 and 2017. Policy and technology risks have become relatively less important. Curtailment and price risks have become relatively more important.
This investment risk is not as large as it seems because the steady increases in solar market share that cause these negative returns will never happen if solar generators are not shielded from their value declines and integration costs.
In the new report, Allianz Commercial risk consultants identify some of the potential hazards posed by solar PV installations and highlight best practice for loss prevention and risk mitigation.
We show that risk premiums and investment risk have declined for solar photovoltaics and onshore wind technologies in all three countries. Increasing technology reliability at a lower cost, data availability, better assessment tools and credible and stable policies were crucial elements of this declining investment risk.
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